Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.866740 2.159361 2.481011 2.860558 3.295961 3.779602 4.357386
2025-03-16 1.398743 1.765901 2.204040 2.764543 3.461720 4.299560 5.382194
2025-03-23 1.180756 1.608745 2.157240 2.909676 3.913017 5.202749 6.984468
2025-03-30 0.999168 1.457929 2.084696 2.999855 4.298031 6.069149 8.664340
2025-04-06 0.835675 1.298187 1.967998 3.002999 4.555590 6.790464 10.242933
2025-04-13 0.670006 1.103470 1.766195 2.845492 4.550358 7.128548 11.309331
2025-04-20 0.594774 1.032642 1.735607 2.935745 4.921162 8.058651 13.370651
2025-04-27 0.544188 0.991987 1.743972 3.084674 5.398505 9.204805 15.907328
2025-05-04 0.487843 0.931328 1.708456 3.151848 5.744117 10.172207 18.261747
2025-05-11 0.435270 0.868247 1.658203 3.183309 6.027157 11.060233 20.577916
2025-05-18 0.375287 0.781237 1.551456 3.095225 6.080176 11.546378 22.231784
2025-05-25 0.317396 0.688704 1.420463 2.941295 5.986642 11.749722 23.380404
2025-06-01 0.284432 0.642925 1.376311 2.955739 6.228655 12.624347 25.939110
2025-06-08 0.247132 0.581866 1.292596 2.878322 6.277809 13.134995 27.855190
2025-06-15 0.235546 0.575567 1.322333 3.042755 6.846082 14.740758 32.163071
2025-06-22 0.219888 0.557340 1.323526 3.145177 7.295402 16.154853 36.241146
2025-06-29 0.199199 0.523677 1.285206 3.153359 7.538525 17.162571 39.571981
2025-07-06 0.170284 0.464776 1.179797 2.990974 7.374032 17.269031 40.943022
2025-07-13 0.160185 0.452142 1.182835 3.087354 7.823070 18.785765 45.652878
2025-07-20 0.154144 0.449211 1.209271 3.244741 8.437721 20.747166 51.607325
2025-07-27 0.144175 0.433884 1.202053 3.315907 8.849289 22.279889 56.722116
2025-08-03 0.133424 0.414514 1.181460 3.349321 9.169618 23.629424 61.545082
2025-08-10 0.118603 0.380725 1.117222 3.257012 9.152642 24.151888 64.384015